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Simulate the rest of the NBA season with randomized outcomes
| Seed | Team | Now | Proj W | Proj L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🍀 Boston Celtics | 54-18 | 61 | 21 |
| 2 | ⚔️ Cleveland Cavaliers | 52-20 | 59 | 23 |
| 3 | 🏙️ New York Knicks | 50-22 | 57 | 25 |
| 4 | 🦌 Milwaukee Bucks | 48-24 | 55 | 27 |
| 5 | 🏎️ Indiana Pacers | 46-26 | 52 | 30 |
| 6 | ✨ Orlando Magic | 45-27 | 52 | 30 |
| 7 | 🔥 Miami Heat | 44-28 | 50 | 32 |
| 8 | 🔔 Philadelphia 76ers | 41-31 | 47 | 35 |
| 9 | 🦅 Atlanta Hawks | 38-34 | 43 | 39 |
| 10 | 🐂 Chicago Bulls | 36-36 | 41 | 41 |
| -- | 🦖 Toronto Raptors | 30-42 | 34 | 48 |
| -- | 🌉 Brooklyn Nets | 28-44 | 32 | 50 |
| -- | 🐝 Charlotte Hornets | 25-47 | 28 | 54 |
| -- | 🔧 Detroit Pistons | 22-50 | 25 | 57 |
| -- | 🧙 Washington Wizards | 20-52 | 23 | 59 |
| Seed | Team | Now | Proj W | Proj L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ⚡ Oklahoma City Thunder | 57-15 | 65 | 17 |
| 2 | ⛏️ Denver Nuggets | 50-22 | 57 | 25 |
| 3 | 🐺 Minnesota Timberwolves | 49-23 | 56 | 26 |
| 4 | 🐴 Dallas Mavericks | 47-25 | 54 | 28 |
| 5 | ⛵ Los Angeles Clippers | 45-27 | 51 | 31 |
| 6 | ☀️ Phoenix Suns | 44-28 | 50 | 32 |
| 7 | 👑 Los Angeles Lakers | 43-29 | 49 | 33 |
| 8 | 🦁 Sacramento Kings | 42-30 | 48 | 34 |
| 9 | 🦅 New Orleans Pelicans | 40-32 | 46 | 36 |
| 10 | 🌉 Golden State Warriors | 39-33 | 44 | 38 |
| -- | 🚀 Houston Rockets | 37-35 | 42 | 40 |
| -- | 🐻 Memphis Grizzlies | 35-37 | 40 | 42 |
| -- | 🎵 Utah Jazz | 28-44 | 32 | 50 |
| -- | 🤠 San Antonio Spurs | 26-46 | 29 | 53 |
| -- | 🌲 Portland Trail Blazers | 24-48 | 28 | 54 |
The Season Simulator takes each team's current win-loss record, calculates their win percentage, adds randomized variance, and projects the remaining games. This produces a full 82-game projected record for every team, which is then used to determine playoff seedings.
Seeds 1-6 are guaranteed playoff spots (green), seeds 7-10 enter the Play-In Tournament (yellow), and remaining teams enter the lottery. Each simulation produces different results due to random variance, so click “Simulate Again” to explore alternative outcomes and see the range of possibilities.
Random variance is added to each team's win probability to simulate the unpredictability of NBA games. A team that's been winning 60% might finish anywhere from 55-65% in a given simulation.
The current model uses team-level win percentage with random variance. Remaining schedule strength is not factored in, though it would marginally affect projections for teams with unusually easy or hard remaining schedules.
Seeds 7-10 in each conference enter the Play-In Tournament. The 7 and 8 seeds play each other, with the winner getting the 7 seed. The 9 and 10 seeds play, with the loser eliminated. Then the loser of 7/8 plays the winner of 9/10 for the final spot.