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Project future career stats based on historical aging curves
DAL | Age 25 | 33.9 PPG
32,133
Points
8,722
Rebounds
9,285
Assists
1,090
Games
| Age | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 (now) | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 48.7% | 78 |
| 26 | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 48.7% | 81 |
| 27 | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 48.7% | 80 |
| 28 | 33.2 | 9 | 9.6 | 48.7% | 79 |
| 29 | 32.5 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 48.6% | 82 |
| 30 | 31.9 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 48.6% | 79 |
| 31 | 30.8 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 48.5% | 77 |
| 32 | 29.8 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 48.4% | 74 |
| 33 | 28.8 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 48.3% | 80 |
| 34 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 48.2% | 76 |
| 35 | 26.1 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 48.1% | 73 |
| 36 | 24.7 | 6.7 | 7.2 | 48% | 82 |
| 37 | 23.1 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 47.9% | 78 |
| 38 | 21.4 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 47.8% | 71 |
The Career Simulator projects future statistics based on historical NBA aging curves. Players typically peak between ages 25-27, with gradual decline starting around age 28. The simulator applies age-specific multipliers to each player's current production to estimate how their numbers might trend year over year.
Injury risk increases with age, so projected games played also decreases for older seasons. The simulator includes randomized variance for injury probability, making each simulation slightly different. Click “Re-Simulate” to see alternative outcomes. Career totals accumulate all projected seasons to estimate where a player might finish in all-time rankings.
Projections are based on league-wide aging curve averages. Individual players may decline faster or slower than average. Use these as rough estimates, not guarantees. Factors like injuries, role changes, and team context aren't modeled.
Games played includes random injury variance. Each simulation generates slightly different health outcomes, which affects career totals. The stat-per-game projections use deterministic aging curves.
The model uses a standard NBA aging curve: players improve until ~27, hold steady until ~29, then decline ~2-3% per year through the early 30s, accelerating to ~4-5% per year after 33.